Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000118 0.000131 0.000145 0.000161 0.000179 0.000198 0.000220
2025-11-16 0.000098 0.000116 0.000136 0.000159 0.000188 0.000220 0.000261
2025-11-23 0.000085 0.000105 0.000128 0.000159 0.000197 0.000243 0.000303
2025-11-30 0.000074 0.000096 0.000123 0.000159 0.000207 0.000267 0.000349
2025-12-07 0.000066 0.000088 0.000117 0.000158 0.000213 0.000286 0.000391
2025-12-14 0.000060 0.000083 0.000115 0.000160 0.000224 0.000313 0.000445
2025-12-21 0.000055 0.000078 0.000111 0.000161 0.000233 0.000336 0.000496
2025-12-28 0.000050 0.000073 0.000107 0.000160 0.000239 0.000356 0.000543
2026-01-04 0.000046 0.000070 0.000106 0.000162 0.000250 0.000383 0.000605
2026-01-11 0.000043 0.000067 0.000103 0.000162 0.000258 0.000407 0.000661
2026-01-18 0.000040 0.000064 0.000100 0.000162 0.000263 0.000427 0.000715
2026-01-25 0.000037 0.000060 0.000097 0.000161 0.000269 0.000447 0.000768
2026-02-01 0.000035 0.000058 0.000095 0.000161 0.000276 0.000470 0.000832
2026-02-08 0.000032 0.000054 0.000092 0.000159 0.000279 0.000489 0.000889
2026-02-15 0.000030 0.000052 0.000090 0.000159 0.000285 0.000511 0.000955
2026-02-22 0.000028 0.000050 0.000088 0.000159 0.000293 0.000537 0.001029
2026-03-01 0.000026 0.000047 0.000085 0.000157 0.000296 0.000556 0.001092
2026-03-08 0.000025 0.000046 0.000085 0.000160 0.000307 0.000590 0.001188
2026-03-15 0.000024 0.000045 0.000083 0.000160 0.000315 0.000618 0.001275
2026-03-22 0.000022 0.000043 0.000081 0.000159 0.000319 0.000640 0.001350
2026-03-29 0.000022 0.000042 0.000081 0.000162 0.000331 0.000677 0.001461
2026-04-05 0.000020 0.000041 0.000079 0.000162 0.000338 0.000706 0.001558
2026-04-12 0.000019 0.000039 0.000078 0.000162 0.000343 0.000731 0.001649